- OH: Clinton +9 (last poll was Clinton +17)
- WI: Obama +10 (not that I trust ARG, but last poll showed Clinton +6)
- NC: Obama +10 (older poll)
General election matchups
- VA: Obama +6 vs. McCain; McCain +3 vs. Clinton
- IA: Obama +10 vs. McCain; McCain +11 vs. Clinton
- WI: Obama +10 vs. McCain; McCain +7 vs. Clinton
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